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Robert Namer
Voice Of America
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AUGUST 2, 2018

     Liberals will lose big in November - how will they spin the results? With just 97 days to go until Election Day, President Trump proved that with a series of tweets over the weekend dealing with immigration, the Mueller Russia probe and the media (which he again referred to as the "Enemy of the People.") The tweets, a good synthesis of some of Trump's Greatest Hits during the first year and a half of his presidency, could upend the midterm elections. For example, he threatened to shut down the government over immigration, something that seemingly came out of the blue.

      Trump reiterated that he was willing to shut the government down over the issue during a news conference with the Italian prime minister. "If we don't get border security after many, many years of talk within the United States, I would have no problem doing a shutdown," Trump said. When asked whether he would hold firm on that if his immigration demands weren't met, Trump added, "I would certainly be willing to close it down to get it done." Talk about volatility. Think about the timing of a potential shutdown — one would come right as the election season is in full swing, as funding for the government expires Sept. 30. How about that for an October surprise?

     Trump clearly thinks it's an issue that will help him and Republicans for 2018.  Immigration is an issue that clearly fires up people on the left.  But Trump's approach is one that only is popular with the base. And while getting the base out is important in a midterm year, most analysts would argue that independents are more key. Trump, though, has done little to reach out to the middle, and, largely, independents have soured on Trump's approach.


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